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College Football Week 1 Lines: South Carolina at Vandy, Sept. 1, 2016

Jim Feist football photoby Jim Feist

 

 

Football is just around the corner!  NFL teams are reporting for training camps and college football programs are getting prepped for Week 1. One of those Week 1 matchups is in the SEC, as South Carolina heads to Vanderbilt for a conference battle, Thursday, September, 1, 2016. Both teams are in transition, with Vandy opening a 2.5-point favorite and moving to 3 on the early Vegas line.   (Click for free college football odds).

 

Week 1 CFB odds

 

A year ago the Gamecocks were a 1.5-point home favorite and squeezed out a 19-10 victory over Vandy — the only SEC win on the entire season. WR Pharoh Cooper caught seven passes for 160 yards, including South Carolina’s only touchdown, but he is off to the NFL. Both teams rushed for just over 150 yards each, but neither passing game was very good: the Vandy QB threw three picks. So will 2016 see a little more offense? It will see a new coaching staff in South Carolina as Will Muschamp takes over.  Head to head the home team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings and the under is 6-2-1 in the last nine meetings.

 

2016 South Carolina: 3-9 SU/6-6 ATS (1-7 SEC) –  7-3-1 under the total

  • Returning: Offense – 6, Defense – 6.  22-7 SU run at home. 16-9-1 run under
  • 3 straight 11-2 seasons for Steve Spurrier, then 7-6 to 3-9, so Will Muschamp is the new coach. They were 2-4 at home, losing 23-22 to Citadel at home as -22.5 chalk.
  • Offense: 21.9 ppg (110th), 207.5 yards passing (84th), 154.7 yds rushing (88th).
  •  co-offensive coordinators Bryan McClendon (Georgia assistant) +  Kurt Roper (2014 Cleveland Browns OC), who will run a spread offense.
  • Junior QB Conner Mitch (165 yards, 1 TD) will battle senior QB Perry Orth (1,929 yds, 54.8%, 12 TDs, 9 INTs). Also Junior QB Michael Scarnecchia (9 yds) and highly-touted freshman QB Brandon McIlwain is mobile for the spread attack.
  • 2 offensive line starters are back, Mason Zandi and Alan Knot.
  • Sophomore RB Lorenzo Nunez (376 yards, 6.4 ypc) was second on the team.
  • There isn’t much proven talent coming back at receiver, though. Soph WR Deebo Samuel (12 catches, 161 yards) and speedy freshman Bryan Edwards could be a star, but he just needs time in Roper’s offense. 6-4 senior WR Matrick Belton (121 yds) is back, and Jamari Smith moved from running back to receiver, so there are a lot of new looks.

Vanderbilt v South Carolina

  • Defense: 27.5 ppg (72nd). Allowed 430 yds pg (97th), so new defensive coordinator Travaris Robinson wants this group to be more physical.
  • 6-5 Senior Darius English (4.5 sacks) is back, defensive end Marquavius Lewis had a lot of hype but has a way to go.
  • There is experience at cornerback with starters Chris Lammons and Rico McWilliams, but Muschamp and his staff still don’t feel comfortable playing their cornerbacks in press-coverage, a staple of his Florida defenses.
  • 2016 Schedule: Open at Vandy and Miss State, then at Kentucky in Week 4. At Florida (Nov. 12) as Muschamp faces his old team, then end at Clemson, so it’s not an easy 2016.
  • The Gamecocks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in September.
  • The Under is 11-4-1 in Gamecocks last 16 games overall.

 

 South Carolina vs Vanderbilt

2016 Vanderbilt: 4-8 SU/6-6 ATS (2-6 SEC) –   10-1-1 under the total

  • Returning: Offense – 8, Defense – 8.  17-7-1 run under
  • Vandy begins its third season under Derek mason, 46, the former Stanford defensive coordinator.  It;s the second year for offensive coordinator Andy Ludwig (Wisconsin).
  • Offense: 15.2 ppg (124th), 171.8 yards passing (112th), 154.7 yds rushing (88th).
  • 3 starters return on offensive line and the backups have a lot of experience. Offensive tackle Andrew Jelks missed last season with a torn ACL and is back.
  • 6-4 sophomore QB Kyle Shurmur (5 TDs, 3 INTs, 503 yds, 42.7%) gets the full time nod, junior RB Ralph Webb (1,152 yards, 4.2 ypc) was the offense.
  • Top receivers back in junior WR Trent Sherfield (659 yards), Caleb Scott (339).

 

  •  Defense: 21 ppg (22nd) – Key pieces from a defensive unit that ranked No. 30 in yards (350 pg). Up front, junior NTs Nifae Lealao, Jay Woods, Adam Butler are back. The linebacker corps takes a bit of a hit, but rising junior DE Zach Cunningham is a keeper.
  • Secondary is intact and should be better with freshman S Joejuan Williams, a 4-star recruit.
  • 2016 Schedule: Open with 2 straight home games (South Carolina, MTS), at Georgia Tech, at Western Kentucky. at Kentucky, at Georgia, at Auburn, at Mizzou.
  • Good team to look at under total again?  17-7-1 run under.
  • The Commodores are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 conference games.
  • The Under is 49-23-1 in Commodores last 73 conference games.
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Warriors vs. Cavaliers: NBA Finals Game 7 Betting Preview

Jim Feist

by Jim Feist

 

 The Warriors return home Sunday night, June 19, 2016, for Game 7 of the NBA Finals against the Cleveland Cavaliers. It’s the first Game 7 in the Finals since LeBron James and Miami beat San Antonio in 2013, as James  has 37 points, 12 rebounds.  Cleveland has stunned the basketball world the last week, down 3-1 in the series but winning the last two to force this winner-take-all showdown.  The Cavs stole Game 5 here, 112-97, but lost the first two games on this court, 104-87 and 110-77.  Golden State is a 4-point road favorite with the total at 206.

 

2016 NBA Finals: Home team (4-2 SU/ATS)Warriors vs Cavaliers NBA Finals

Game 1: Warriors 104, Cavs 89

Game 2: Warriors 110-77.

Game 3: Cavs 120-90 (no Kevin Love)

Game 4: Warriors 108-97

Game 5: Cavs win 112-97

Game 6: Cavs win 115-101 (no Andrew Bogut)

 

#1 Cavaliers (72-30; 33-8 home, 24-17 away)   – 9-6 ATS run

  • Offense: #8 in points (104.3 pg), #10 in FGs (.460), #7 in 3-point shooting (.362%). 6-0 ATS run at home
  • Defense: #4 in points (98.3), #14 in FG defense (.448%).
  • 31-yr old LeBron James (25.3 ppg, 7.4 rpg, 6.8 apg), 24-yr old Kyrie Irving (19.6 ppg, 4.7 apg), 27-year old Kevin Love (16 ppg, 9.9 rpg).
    • Game 5: Cavs won 112-97 at GS shooting 53%, the Warriors shot just 36%
    • Golden State had SLeBron `haun Livingston guard James, with little success.  Green is a bit better at switching onto James than Marreese Speights.  Golden State’s defense was a bit of a mess without Green.
    • Cavaliers are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Golden State.
  • 9-5-1 under vs winning team

 

 

#1 Seed Golden State(88-17; 50-4 SU at home)

  • Beat Houston in 5 games. Beat Blazers in 5 games.  OKC in 7.
  • Offense: #1 in NBA in scoring (114.9 pg), #1 in FGs (.487), #1 in three-point shooting (.416%).
  • Defense: #18 in points (104.1), #3 in FG defense (.435%).
  • 28-year old Steph Curry (30.1 ppg, 6.7 apg, 5.4 rpg), 26-yr old Klay Thompson (22.1 ppg), 26-yr old Draymond Green (14 ppg, 9.5 rpg)
  • The Warriors are 23-10-2 ATS in their last 35 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points., 34-15-2 ATS in their last 51 games playing on 2 days rest.
  • The Under is 19-6-2 at home vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • (Jim Feist free daily NBA odds: CLICK HERELrbon 2)
  • Storylines for Game 7: The home team is 15-3 SU in Game 7 NBA Finals and the road team hasn’t won since 1978.  In NBA playoff history the home team is 101-24 in Game 7s.
  • The Warriors are 36-17 ATS after a loss. and on a 5-1 ATS run at home. The Cavaliers are 4-9 ATS at Golden State. LeBron James is 9-8 in elimination games (3-2 in Game 7). Golden State is 2-6 SU in Game 3s over the past two seasons and 29-7 SU in all other games.  And the under is 4-0-2 when these teams play at Golden State.
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