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NBA Playoff Betting : Cavaliers vs Raptors, 5/22/2016

Jim NBA Photoby Jim Feist

The Cleveland Cavaliers came into their series with the Toronto Raptors rested and undefeated at 8-0! The first two games in Cleveland went exactly as many expected, with Cavs blowouts and covers. The Cavs took game one, 115-84 as a 11 point favorite and then repeated their performance with another blowout in game two, 108-89, as an 11 1/2 point favorite.

 

The series moved to Toronto for a pivitol game three on Saturday with many expecting another Cleveland sweep. The Cavs were a 5 1/2 point road chalk and much like Nyquist did in the mud at the Preakness, got bogged-down by the Raptors, 99-84. Game three was never close as the Toronto jumped out to a 60-47 halftime lead and never were really challenged the rest of the way. The Cavs were embarrassing against a short handed Raptors teams that possessed inconsistent guard play. Lebron James is also not the dominating player he once was, but at his age no one is. James’ outside shot and his free throws are marginal at best and downright ugly at times. James still has great skills in other areas, but not quite the same as he was did. James needs help from his surrounding players and he just didn’t get it in game three.

 

The Cavaliers have all the tools to win the NBA Championship this year, but no one knows if we are seeing a mirage or not. Meaning, have the Cavs looked so good because they are playing the easiest teams to beat? The Eastern Conference was a joke again this year. The East has talent, but not too much of it. Cleveland really could name the score in almost every game versus an Eastern Conference opponent.

 

The Cavs have held their opponents to under 100 points in nine of their 11 playoff games.  The Raptors 60 points at half in game three still couldn’t get them to push past that 100 point envelope. Cleveland has been amazing from beyond the three-point arc as they hit 14 shots from long range in game three. They now lead all NBA teams with a 14.7 per game average in three point shots and a league-best 43.5% overall mark.

 

I look for the Cavaliers to have a big bounce back in game four, but will they have enough to adjust to the Raptors big man in the middle, Bismack Biyombo.  Bismack set a Toronto playoff record with 26 rebounds in game three. Will the Cavs have to adjust to Mismack and go big?  Will this mean we are going to see more of Cavs big man Timofey Mozgov in game four? Allowing 26 boards to one player is not the way to win championships Cleveland.

 

The oddsmakers still have the Cavaliers a heavy favorite at -1000 to win the series and the comeback price on Toronto at +700.  For full odds, just check out my Scores and Odds page to get the latest game odds and of course live scores once the game starts.

 

Entering this series many thought it was another four-game sweep for the Cavs.  The Raptors took care of that thought in game three.  The Cavaliers opened a six point favorite for game four in Toronto with a 197 1/2 total. There hasn’t been much movement yet on either the side or total.  Obviously the oddsmakers are expecting are looking for money to come in on the Cavs so we see a bit higher line today on Cleveland than we saw Saturday in game three.   Are the Cavs in for a long fight finally or will that take game four after adjusting to their game three loss?


I will have my pick on this game early Monday morning.  Go to my picks page and be sure to join me as I’ve been red-hot in the NBA playoffs. 

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NBA Playoff Betting : Warriors vs Thunder, 5/22/2016

Jim NBA Photoby Jim Feist

This might be one of the best Conference finals we have ever seen, with two incredible clubs in a series where we know the Golden State Warriors are the better team.  We thought the same thing in the Thunder’s series with the Spurs and we saw how that turned out.

 

The Thunder accomplished exactly what they wanted in taking game one at Golden State.  They came out focused, played aggressive, dominated the boards and shot great from the free throw line.  I think they really stunned the Warriors in game one.  But, we all a very different Warriors club in game two, the one we know to be the best team in the NBA.

 

Now we head to Oklahoma, where the Thunder will try and hold onto home court. If the Warriors can stay focused and play with the energy they showed in game two, then no one can beat them. However, if they show up with that same lackluster effort we saw in the 2nd half of game one, this could be a very interesting series. The Thunder kept the Warriors offense off kilter in game one, by dominating the boards and at the free throw line.

 

Golden State made the proper adjustments for game two, were much more aggressive and were able to get Stephen Curry free for his third quarter outburst that sunk the Thunder. Moving on to game three, I have zero doubt who will win this series, but I do not think it will be by a huge margin in every game.

 

Today is a great bounce back spot for the Thunder if they come out and show us what won them game one, a purpose and energy on the boards. They need to win the rebounding game, it starts there. The Thunder also need to cut down on the turnovers. Are you hearing me Russell Westbrook? Westbrook also needs to break out of his shooting slump, going 12-of-35 from the floor thus far in the series.

 

Big game three here today. The Thunder need to control the boards and keep Golden State off balance. If we don’t see that, then the Warriors might just repeat their game two performance. Either way, it’s going to be an exciting game.

 

I’ve had the right side in game one and game two of this series. Be sure to check out my picks page for my call here in game three. Good Luck!

 

 


And don’t forget for all your scores and Odds, check out Jim’s Expanded Page with scores and odds from various book and live scoring updates.

 

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NBA Playoff Betting: Spurs vs. Thunder Game 4, 5/8/2016

Jim NBA Photoby Jim Feist

 

 

The San Antonio Spurs head to Oklahoma City to battle the Thunder in a key Game 4 on Sunday, May 8, 2016. The Spurs are -1 with the total at 198.5, the total down from 201 in the opener. San Antonio put the ropes on OKC the last game, a 100-96 victory in Game 3 to take back home court. The amazing Kawhi Leonard finished with 31 points and 11 rebounds.

 

Spurs vs Thunder NBA battle

San Antonio coach Gregg Popovich devised a defensive strategy where the Spurs sent multiple bodies at Russell Westbrook to harass him from getting to the basket. Westbrook was just 10-of-31 from the field. Will first-year Oklahoma City coach Billy Donovan come up with a counter-punch? San Antonio newcomer LaMarcus Aldridge was a force, too, with 24 points and eight rebounds. He is averaging 34.3 points and shooting 63.1 percent in the series. The Spurs are just 4-11 ATS after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

 

 

If you like to play totals  San Antonio is 20-7 under the total against the Western Conference, plus 12-4 under on the road.  (Jim Feist free daily NBA odds: CLICK HERE)

 

 

 

 

#2 seed San Antonio (71-15) is a powerhouse defensive squad, ranked No. 3 in the NBA in field goal shooting allowed. San Antonio is also No. 1 in the NBA in points allowed.  The team went 40-1 at home.  The Spurs are 3-11 ATS in the last 14 meetings in Oklahoma City.

 

 

#3 Seed Oklahoma City ThSpurs against the Thunder NBAunder (59-28 SU) –  32-9 H, 23-18 away
#2 in scoring (110.4), #3 FGs, #17 in 3-point shooting (.35%). #29 in FT (69%)
Oklahoma City hasn’t been back to the NBA Finals since their 2012 appearance, but they are still a force with 27-year old 6-9 Kevin Durant (28 ppg, 8.3 rpg), 27-year old do-it-all guard Russell Westbrook (23.7 ppg, 7.7 rpg, 10.4 apg) and 6-foot-10 26-year old Serge Ibaka (12.7 ppg, 6.8 rpg).
They are an offensive dynamo, third in the NBA in scoring, but play better defense than you might think for first-year coach Billy Donovan.
Defense: #16 in points (103 ppg), #5 in FG D (.44%), #10 in 3-pt D (.345%)

  • The Thunder are 29-10-2 ATS at home against a team with a road winning percentage of greater than .600.
  • The Over is 17-8 in the Thunder’s last 25 games playing on one day of rest.

When these rivals clash  the Thunder is 5-2 ATS, the favorite is 20-8-1 ATS and the home team is a sizzling  19-10-1 ATS in the last 29 meetings. In addition, the under is 9-2 at OKC.

 

And don’t forget for all your scores and Odds, check out Jim’s Expanded Page with scores and odds from various book and live scoring updates.

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NBA Playoff Betting: Thunder vs. Spurs Game 1, 4/30/2016

Jim at Desk 2014by Jim Feist

 

 

The Oklahoma City Thunder head to the Alamodome Saturday, April 30, 2016, to battle the mighty Spurs in San Antonio. The Spurs are -6.5 with the total at 201. OKC star Kevin Durant did not shoot well against Dallas the last series, shooting 36.8 percent from the field and 26.8 percent from 3-point range. He faces a superior defense in this round, the Western Conference semifinals. Sparkplug guard Russell Westbrook averaged 26 points, 11.2 assists and 7.2 rebounds against the Mavs.

 

 

San Antonio had a cakewalk over banged up Memphis in the first round, winning by an average of 22 points.  The teams split four regular-season meetings with the home team winning  each time. The Thunder are 9-2 ATS against a team with a winning straight up record, while San Antonio is on a 2-5 spread run at home. The Spurs are also 3-10 ATS after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.  If you like to play totals  San Antonio is 18-6 under against the Western Conference.  (Jim Feist free daily NBA odds: CLICK HERE)  Spurs vs Thunder NBA photo

 

#3 Seed Oklahoma City Thunder (59-28 SU) –  32-9 H, 23-18 away
#2 in scoring (110.4), #3 FGs, #17 in 3-point shooting (.35%). #29 in FT (69%)
Oklahoma City hasn’t been back to the NBA Finals since their 2012 appearance, but they are still a force with 27-year old 6-9 Kevin Durant (28 ppg, 8.3 rpg), 27-year old do-it-all guard Russell Westbrook (23.7 ppg, 7.7 rpg, 10.4 apg) and 6-foot-10 26-year old Serge Ibaka (12.7 ppg, 6.8 rpg).
They are an offensive dynamo, third in the NBA in scoring, but play better defense than you might think for first-year coach Billy Donovan.
Defense: #16 in points (103 ppg), #5 in FG D (.44%), #10 in 3-pt D (.345%)

  • The Thunder are 24-8-2 ATS in their last 34 Saturday games.

Spurs vs Thunder NBA battle

 

#2 seed San Antonio (71-15) is rested, a powerhouse defense, ranked No. 3 in the NBA in field goal shooting allowed. San Antonio is also No. 1 in the NBA in points allowed.  The team went 40-1 at home.

 

When these rivals clash  the Thunder is 4-0 ATS, the favorite is 18-7-1 ATS and the home team is a sizzling  17-8-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings. In addition, the under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

 

And don’t forget for all your scores and Odds, check out Jim’s Expanded Page with scores and odds from various book and live scoring updates.

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NBA Playoff Betting Preview: Raptors/Pacers Game 6, 4/29/2016

Jim NBA Photoby Jim Feist 

 

 

The Toronto Raptors try to close out the series in game 6 Friday, April 29, 2016, at the Indiana Pacers. Indiana is a 2-point favorite with the total dropping down to 194.5. The Pacers must shake off the disappointment of Game 5, blowing a 13-point fourth quarter lead in a 102-99 comeback win at home by Toronto. The Raptors outscored the Pacers 25-9 in the fateful fourth. It’s been a defensive series, 4-1 under the total. The Raptors are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 Conference Quarterfinals games.

 
Indiana has two days of rest for this one and the Pacers are 17-4 ATS playing on two days of rest. They are also a strong bounce back team, on a 9-3 ARaptors vs PacersTS run following a straight up loss. The Raptors are 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings, including 9-2 ATS at Indiana. And the under is 4-0 when they clash in Indiana.  (Jim Feist free daily NBA odds: CLICK HERE)

 

 

 

#2 Seed Toronto (56-26 SU) 32-9 Home, 24-17 Away
• #13 in scoring, #15 FGs, #4 in three-point shooting (.37%). #12 in Free Throws (78%)
• Defense: #3 in points allowed (98.2 ppg), #12 in FG D (.444%), #29 in 3-pt D (37%)
• Who wants to face this backcourt? 26-year old DeMar DeRozan (23.5 ppg) and 29-year old point guard Kyle Lowry (21 ppg, 6.4 apg) are a handful.
• Toronto is Top 12 in the NBA in points allowed, free throw shooting and field goal defense.
• The Over is 35-16-1 in the Raptors last 52 games following a spread loss.

 

 

 

pacers basketball NBA#7 Seed Pacers (45-37 SU, 6-2 ATS run) 6-1 run under. 26-15 Home, 19-22 Away
• #16 in scoring, #16 FGs, #15 in three-point shooting (35%), #15 FTs (76%)
• 6-9 25-year old Paul George (23 ppg, 4 apg, 7 rpg), 6-3 30-year old Monta Ellis (13.8 ppg, 4.7 apg) and 29-year old 6-3 George Hill (12 ppg, 3.5 rpg) bring balance on a strong offense.
• Defense: #8 in points (100.6 ppg), #6 in FG D (.44%), #3 in 3-pt D (33%)
• The Under is 15-5 in the Pacers last 20 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

 

 

Game 1 Pacers win 100-90 as +6 dog, as Paul George had 33 points on 12-of-22 shooting. The Indiana bench had 37 points, 18 rebounds. The Pacers made 11-of-21 threes. Toronto shot 38%, just 4-of-19 from long range. Toronto had a big edge in rebounds, 52-38. Toronto shot 38 percent and made 20 turnovers, leading to 25 Indiana points. The Raptors out-rebounded the Pacers 52-38, and had 20 offensive rebounds.

Game 2: 98-87 Toronto wins with a 27-16 first quarter. Valanciunas had 23 points and Toronto finished with 46 points in the paint, compared to Indiana’s 30, as the Raptors outrebounded the Pacers 44-33.

Game 3: Toronto wins at Indiana, 101-85. Toronto shot 41.5%, Indiana 38%. Toronto had the edge in rebounds again, 45-38.
Game 4: Indiana wins at home, 100-83. Indiana shot 47%, Toronto just 36.5%. Indiana finally won the rebounding battle, 43-40.
Game 5: Toronto rallies for 102-99 win, overcoming a 13-point fourth quarter deficit. Toronto shot 40% (6-of-26 threes), while Indiana shot 45% (13-29 threes). Rebounding battle was even, 41-41.

 

 

• Dec 14: Indiana won at home 106-90 as -4.5, under 200.
• March 17 Toronto won at Indiana, 101-94 as +2, under 203.5.
• April 8 Toronto won at home 111-98 as +5 dog, over 193.5. The Pacers needed a win to clinch a postseason spot, but couldn’t get anything going in Toronto even with Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan getting the night off. The Underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

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