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PROLINE 2016

PROLINE 2016
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College Football Week 1 Lines: South Carolina at Vandy, Sept. 1, 2016

Jim Feist football photoby Jim Feist

 

 

Football is just around the corner!  NFL teams are reporting for training camps and college football programs are getting prepped for Week 1. One of those Week 1 matchups is in the SEC, as South Carolina heads to Vanderbilt for a conference battle, Thursday, September, 1, 2016. Both teams are in transition, with Vandy opening a 2.5-point favorite and moving to 3 on the early Vegas line.   (Click for free college football odds).

 

Week 1 CFB odds

 

A year ago the Gamecocks were a 1.5-point home favorite and squeezed out a 19-10 victory over Vandy — the only SEC win on the entire season. WR Pharoh Cooper caught seven passes for 160 yards, including South Carolina’s only touchdown, but he is off to the NFL. Both teams rushed for just over 150 yards each, but neither passing game was very good: the Vandy QB threw three picks. So will 2016 see a little more offense? It will see a new coaching staff in South Carolina as Will Muschamp takes over.  Head to head the home team is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings and the under is 6-2-1 in the last nine meetings.

 

2016 South Carolina: 3-9 SU/6-6 ATS (1-7 SEC) –  7-3-1 under the total

  • Returning: Offense – 6, Defense – 6.  22-7 SU run at home. 16-9-1 run under
  • 3 straight 11-2 seasons for Steve Spurrier, then 7-6 to 3-9, so Will Muschamp is the new coach. They were 2-4 at home, losing 23-22 to Citadel at home as -22.5 chalk.
  • Offense: 21.9 ppg (110th), 207.5 yards passing (84th), 154.7 yds rushing (88th).
  •  co-offensive coordinators Bryan McClendon (Georgia assistant) +  Kurt Roper (2014 Cleveland Browns OC), who will run a spread offense.
  • Junior QB Conner Mitch (165 yards, 1 TD) will battle senior QB Perry Orth (1,929 yds, 54.8%, 12 TDs, 9 INTs). Also Junior QB Michael Scarnecchia (9 yds) and highly-touted freshman QB Brandon McIlwain is mobile for the spread attack.
  • 2 offensive line starters are back, Mason Zandi and Alan Knot.
  • Sophomore RB Lorenzo Nunez (376 yards, 6.4 ypc) was second on the team.
  • There isn’t much proven talent coming back at receiver, though. Soph WR Deebo Samuel (12 catches, 161 yards) and speedy freshman Bryan Edwards could be a star, but he just needs time in Roper’s offense. 6-4 senior WR Matrick Belton (121 yds) is back, and Jamari Smith moved from running back to receiver, so there are a lot of new looks.

Vanderbilt v South Carolina

  • Defense: 27.5 ppg (72nd). Allowed 430 yds pg (97th), so new defensive coordinator Travaris Robinson wants this group to be more physical.
  • 6-5 Senior Darius English (4.5 sacks) is back, defensive end Marquavius Lewis had a lot of hype but has a way to go.
  • There is experience at cornerback with starters Chris Lammons and Rico McWilliams, but Muschamp and his staff still don’t feel comfortable playing their cornerbacks in press-coverage, a staple of his Florida defenses.
  • 2016 Schedule: Open at Vandy and Miss State, then at Kentucky in Week 4. At Florida (Nov. 12) as Muschamp faces his old team, then end at Clemson, so it’s not an easy 2016.
  • The Gamecocks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games in September.
  • The Under is 11-4-1 in Gamecocks last 16 games overall.

 

 South Carolina vs Vanderbilt

2016 Vanderbilt: 4-8 SU/6-6 ATS (2-6 SEC) –   10-1-1 under the total

  • Returning: Offense – 8, Defense – 8.  17-7-1 run under
  • Vandy begins its third season under Derek mason, 46, the former Stanford defensive coordinator.  It;s the second year for offensive coordinator Andy Ludwig (Wisconsin).
  • Offense: 15.2 ppg (124th), 171.8 yards passing (112th), 154.7 yds rushing (88th).
  • 3 starters return on offensive line and the backups have a lot of experience. Offensive tackle Andrew Jelks missed last season with a torn ACL and is back.
  • 6-4 sophomore QB Kyle Shurmur (5 TDs, 3 INTs, 503 yds, 42.7%) gets the full time nod, junior RB Ralph Webb (1,152 yards, 4.2 ypc) was the offense.
  • Top receivers back in junior WR Trent Sherfield (659 yards), Caleb Scott (339).

 

  •  Defense: 21 ppg (22nd) – Key pieces from a defensive unit that ranked No. 30 in yards (350 pg). Up front, junior NTs Nifae Lealao, Jay Woods, Adam Butler are back. The linebacker corps takes a bit of a hit, but rising junior DE Zach Cunningham is a keeper.
  • Secondary is intact and should be better with freshman S Joejuan Williams, a 4-star recruit.
  • 2016 Schedule: Open with 2 straight home games (South Carolina, MTS), at Georgia Tech, at Western Kentucky. at Kentucky, at Georgia, at Auburn, at Mizzou.
  • Good team to look at under total again?  17-7-1 run under.
  • The Commodores are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 conference games.
  • The Under is 49-23-1 in Commodores last 73 conference games.
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Warriors vs. Cavaliers: NBA Finals Game 7 Betting Preview

Jim Feist

by Jim Feist

 

 The Warriors return home Sunday night, June 19, 2016, for Game 7 of the NBA Finals against the Cleveland Cavaliers. It’s the first Game 7 in the Finals since LeBron James and Miami beat San Antonio in 2013, as James  has 37 points, 12 rebounds.  Cleveland has stunned the basketball world the last week, down 3-1 in the series but winning the last two to force this winner-take-all showdown.  The Cavs stole Game 5 here, 112-97, but lost the first two games on this court, 104-87 and 110-77.  Golden State is a 4-point road favorite with the total at 206.

 

2016 NBA Finals: Home team (4-2 SU/ATS)Warriors vs Cavaliers NBA Finals

Game 1: Warriors 104, Cavs 89

Game 2: Warriors 110-77.

Game 3: Cavs 120-90 (no Kevin Love)

Game 4: Warriors 108-97

Game 5: Cavs win 112-97

Game 6: Cavs win 115-101 (no Andrew Bogut)

 

#1 Cavaliers (72-30; 33-8 home, 24-17 away)   – 9-6 ATS run

  • Offense: #8 in points (104.3 pg), #10 in FGs (.460), #7 in 3-point shooting (.362%). 6-0 ATS run at home
  • Defense: #4 in points (98.3), #14 in FG defense (.448%).
  • 31-yr old LeBron James (25.3 ppg, 7.4 rpg, 6.8 apg), 24-yr old Kyrie Irving (19.6 ppg, 4.7 apg), 27-year old Kevin Love (16 ppg, 9.9 rpg).
    • Game 5: Cavs won 112-97 at GS shooting 53%, the Warriors shot just 36%
    • Golden State had SLeBron `haun Livingston guard James, with little success.  Green is a bit better at switching onto James than Marreese Speights.  Golden State’s defense was a bit of a mess without Green.
    • Cavaliers are 4-9 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Golden State.
  • 9-5-1 under vs winning team

 

 

#1 Seed Golden State(88-17; 50-4 SU at home)

  • Beat Houston in 5 games. Beat Blazers in 5 games.  OKC in 7.
  • Offense: #1 in NBA in scoring (114.9 pg), #1 in FGs (.487), #1 in three-point shooting (.416%).
  • Defense: #18 in points (104.1), #3 in FG defense (.435%).
  • 28-year old Steph Curry (30.1 ppg, 6.7 apg, 5.4 rpg), 26-yr old Klay Thompson (22.1 ppg), 26-yr old Draymond Green (14 ppg, 9.5 rpg)
  • The Warriors are 23-10-2 ATS in their last 35 games following a straight up loss of more than 10 points., 34-15-2 ATS in their last 51 games playing on 2 days rest.
  • The Under is 19-6-2 at home vs. a team with a winning road record.
  • (Jim Feist free daily NBA odds: CLICK HERELrbon 2)
  • Storylines for Game 7: The home team is 15-3 SU in Game 7 NBA Finals and the road team hasn’t won since 1978.  In NBA playoff history the home team is 101-24 in Game 7s.
  • The Warriors are 36-17 ATS after a loss. and on a 5-1 ATS run at home. The Cavaliers are 4-9 ATS at Golden State. LeBron James is 9-8 in elimination games (3-2 in Game 7). Golden State is 2-6 SU in Game 3s over the past two seasons and 29-7 SU in all other games.  And the under is 4-0-2 when these teams play at Golden State.
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An evening with Muhammad Ali and Leroy Neiman

Mohamed Ali

It was  a privilege to meet the Champ, Muhammad Ali and the man who immortalized him on canvas, Leroy Neiman. Ali was the best and will be missed!

 

 

 

 

 

 

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NBA Finals Game 3 Betting Preview: Warriors vs. Cavaliers

Jim Feistby Jim Feist

 

 The Cavaliers return home Wednesday, June 8, 2016, for Game 3 of the NBA Finals. That’s the only good news for a team that got flogged in the first two games, 104-87 and 110-77.  Golden State is a 1-point road favorite with the total at 206.

 

It is a myth that Las Vegas sets traps or wants action one way or the other. Vegas does not set the lines or only moves lines based on action. It’s the Pros vs the Joes, or squares vs the sharps. For this series, it is confusing for most since the perception was that this would be a war, giving the Cavaliers a chance to win it all.  A lot of that came from watching OKC takLrbon 2e a 3-1 lead in their series. The observation was that Golden State was tired from a long grind to set the regular season record and had little left. But then they came back and won three straight to stun OKC.

 

Still, many felt the Thunder gave that series away due to poor play. Cleveland, meanwhile, had an easy road all year and would be the fresher team. That has not worked out, though, hence the confusion. The fact is the Warriors have their number, having beaten them seven straight times and many of those were not close. So does home court turn the trick this week? Or are the Warriors closing in on another parade and dynasty talk?

 

#1 Seed Golden State(73-9; 34-7 away)   – 12-5 ATS run.

  • Beat Houston in 5 games. Beat Blazers in 5 games.  OKC in 7.
  • Offense: #1 in NBA in scoring (114.9 pg), #1 in FGs (.487), #1 in three-point shooting (.416%).
  • Defense: #18 in points (104.1), #3 in FG defense (.435%).
  • 28-year old Steph Curry (30.1 ppg, 6.7 apg, 5.4 rpg), 26-yr old Klay Thompson (22.1 ppg), 26-yr old Draymond Green (14 ppg, 9.5 rpg)
  • Golden State 34-15-2 ATS on 2 days rest.
  • 9-3 under on the road  (Jim Feist free daily NBA odds: CLICK HERE)

LeBron `

 

 

#1 Cavaliers (57-25; 33-8 home, 24-17 away)   – 9-6 ATS run

  • Offense: #8 in points (104.3 pg), #10 in FGs (.460), #7 in 3-point shooting (.362%). 6-0 ATS run at home
  • Defense: #4 in points (98.3), #14 in FG defense (.448%).
  • 31-yr old LeBron James (25.3 ppg, 7.4 rpg, 6.8 apg), 24-yr old Kyrie Irving (19.6 ppg, 4.7 apg), 27-year old Kevin Love (16 ppg, 9.9 rpg).
  • Cavs held their opponents to under 100 points in 11 of 16 playoffs.
  • 40-8 SU at home counting playoffs.
  • 7-19-1 ATS following a straight up loss of more than 10 points.
  • 5-12 ATS playing on 2 days rest.
  • 9-3-1 under vs winning team

 

  • Jan 18: Warriors won at Cleveland (132-98). Led by 30 at half, 40 in the third. “They did what they wanted,” LeBron JamesDWarriors vs Cavaliers NBA Finalsraymond Green had 16 points, 10 assists, 7 rebounds.
  • Warriors shot 54%, hit 19-40 3-pointers.

 

  • NBA Finals: Warriors win Game 1 (104-89) + Game 2 (110-77).
  • Head to head: Cavs 1-6 ATS, under 9-3-1.
  • Warriors 7-3 ATS at Cleveland, favorite is 5-2 ATS
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NBA Finals Fever: Cavaliers vs. Warriors

Jim at cameronby Jim Feist

 

 It’s a rematch of the 2015 NBA Finals as LeBron and the Cavaliers battle  Steph Curry and the defending champion Warriors. Last year the Golden State Warriors exploded with a historical season, tops in the NBA in field goal shooting and three-point shooting, plus No. 1 in FG defense allowing just 42% shooting. This year they were even better, with a record 73 regular season wins as the word “dynasty” floats about.

 

 

   Cleveland is back for an encore, as well, with a better team than 2015. LeBron carried the Cavs a year ago with Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love on the shelf, but now the trio is back healthy after dominating the East.  LeBron is making his sixth consecutive NBA Finals appearance, and third with Cleveland (2007, 2015).    (Jim Feist free daily NBA odds: CLICK HERE)

 

Warriors vs Cavaliers NBA Finals

 

   The NBA has gone back and forth of late crowning champs between veteran teams and young ones. After the younger Oklahoma City Thunder knocked off the Spurs it seems the conclusion of this NBA season is going to be more about youth taking home the title.

 

   Four years ago it was supposed to be the time the kids stepped up in Oklahoma City. OKC came close, winning Game 1 of the Finals before Miami won four in a row. The previous year a younger Miami team came close, carving out a 2-1 series lead before collapsing, as it was those old fogies in Dallas who came away with the title – another veteran team winning the whole thing.

 

  The Spurs won it all two years ago with a great mixture of talented young players alongside their veteran troika.  Overall, veteran NBA teams had been on a roll, with the Celtics winning it all in 2008, the Lakers in 2009-10, the Mavericks in 2012 out of nowhere, and the Heat twice under LeBron and the Spurs, with Tim Duncan and Gregg Popovich. This year young teams from Boston, Atlanta, Portland and Toronto made the playoffs and knocked on the door.

 

   This year the NBA’s Final Four had a pair of teams with a lot more youth than veteran leadership in the Thunder, Raptors, Cavs and Warriors. While the NBA is more of an athletic game, primed for young legs, the experience of the Mavericks certainly helped them four years ago, while the Celtics and Lakers had more veteran stars during their title run.

 

LeBron James photo  Youthful Golden State has been a great story, last year and this season, and at some point age can work against a team, breaking down from injuries. The Celtics and Lakers were veteran teams that clashed in the Finals in 2008 and 2010. The experienced Lakers topped the young Orlando Magic in 2009, blowing out the kids in Game 1, 100-75. Prior to that veteran teams like the Spurs, Pistons and 2006 Miami Heat won titles.

 

 LeBron James is 31 and has been in the league 12 years. Another thing that stands out with the NBA’s Final Four of 2016 is defense.  Toronto and Cleveland were tops in the East during the regular season in points allowed, while Oklahoma City, Golden State and San Antonio were the top teams in the West in field goal shooting defense. Yes, the Warriors dazzle with their offense and long range shooting, but they are a great defensive team — like last year.

 

Cavs Warriors NBA photo

 

  In 2015, Golden State (No. 1) and Atlanta (No. 6) were in the Top six in field goal shooting defense allowed during the regular season.  Two years ago the NBA’s Final 4 (Thunder, Pacers, Spurs and Heat) all finished in the Top 10 in the NBA during the regular season in either points allowed for field goal shooting defense. Oklahoma City was tops in the West in FG shooting defense, while the Pacers were best in the NBA.

 

  This shouldn’t surprise. Four years ago Miami was sixth in points allowed during the regular season, Dallas was 10th.   So how did the mighty Golden State Warriors do against the best of the East?  The Warriors topped Toronto at home (115-110) and on the road (112-109) in close, high scoring games, while they swept the Cavaliers, winning 89-83 and 132-98. Are the kids from the West ready to repeat? Or will we see LeBron hoist the trophy again? Let the games begin!      For full odds, just check out my Scores and Odds page to get the latest game odds and of course live scores once the game starts.
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