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NBA Playoff Betting: Thunder vs. Spurs Game 1, 4/30/2016

Jim at Desk 2014by Jim Feist

 

 

The Oklahoma City Thunder head to the Alamodome Saturday, April 30, 2016, to battle the mighty Spurs in San Antonio. The Spurs are -6.5 with the total at 201. OKC star Kevin Durant did not shoot well against Dallas the last series, shooting 36.8 percent from the field and 26.8 percent from 3-point range. He faces a superior defense in this round, the Western Conference semifinals. Sparkplug guard Russell Westbrook averaged 26 points, 11.2 assists and 7.2 rebounds against the Mavs.

 

 

San Antonio had a cakewalk over banged up Memphis in the first round, winning by an average of 22 points.  The teams split four regular-season meetings with the home team winning  each time. The Thunder are 9-2 ATS against a team with a winning straight up record, while San Antonio is on a 2-5 spread run at home. The Spurs are also 3-10 ATS after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.  If you like to play totals  San Antonio is 18-6 under against the Western Conference.  (Jim Feist free daily NBA odds: CLICK HERE)  Spurs vs Thunder NBA photo

 

#3 Seed Oklahoma City Thunder (59-28 SU) –  32-9 H, 23-18 away
#2 in scoring (110.4), #3 FGs, #17 in 3-point shooting (.35%). #29 in FT (69%)
Oklahoma City hasn’t been back to the NBA Finals since their 2012 appearance, but they are still a force with 27-year old 6-9 Kevin Durant (28 ppg, 8.3 rpg), 27-year old do-it-all guard Russell Westbrook (23.7 ppg, 7.7 rpg, 10.4 apg) and 6-foot-10 26-year old Serge Ibaka (12.7 ppg, 6.8 rpg).
They are an offensive dynamo, third in the NBA in scoring, but play better defense than you might think for first-year coach Billy Donovan.
Defense: #16 in points (103 ppg), #5 in FG D (.44%), #10 in 3-pt D (.345%)

  • The Thunder are 24-8-2 ATS in their last 34 Saturday games.

Spurs vs Thunder NBA battle

 

#2 seed San Antonio (71-15) is rested, a powerhouse defense, ranked No. 3 in the NBA in field goal shooting allowed. San Antonio is also No. 1 in the NBA in points allowed.  The team went 40-1 at home.

 

When these rivals clash  the Thunder is 4-0 ATS, the favorite is 18-7-1 ATS and the home team is a sizzling  17-8-1 ATS in the last 26 meetings. In addition, the under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.

 

And don’t forget for all your scores and Odds, check out Jim’s Expanded Page with scores and odds from various book and live scoring updates.

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NBA Playoff Betting Preview: Raptors/Pacers Game 6, 4/29/2016

Jim NBA Photoby Jim Feist 

 

 

The Toronto Raptors try to close out the series in game 6 Friday, April 29, 2016, at the Indiana Pacers. Indiana is a 2-point favorite with the total dropping down to 194.5. The Pacers must shake off the disappointment of Game 5, blowing a 13-point fourth quarter lead in a 102-99 comeback win at home by Toronto. The Raptors outscored the Pacers 25-9 in the fateful fourth. It’s been a defensive series, 4-1 under the total. The Raptors are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 Conference Quarterfinals games.

 
Indiana has two days of rest for this one and the Pacers are 17-4 ATS playing on two days of rest. They are also a strong bounce back team, on a 9-3 ARaptors vs PacersTS run following a straight up loss. The Raptors are 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings, including 9-2 ATS at Indiana. And the under is 4-0 when they clash in Indiana.  (Jim Feist free daily NBA odds: CLICK HERE)

 

 

 

#2 Seed Toronto (56-26 SU) 32-9 Home, 24-17 Away
• #13 in scoring, #15 FGs, #4 in three-point shooting (.37%). #12 in Free Throws (78%)
• Defense: #3 in points allowed (98.2 ppg), #12 in FG D (.444%), #29 in 3-pt D (37%)
• Who wants to face this backcourt? 26-year old DeMar DeRozan (23.5 ppg) and 29-year old point guard Kyle Lowry (21 ppg, 6.4 apg) are a handful.
• Toronto is Top 12 in the NBA in points allowed, free throw shooting and field goal defense.
• The Over is 35-16-1 in the Raptors last 52 games following a spread loss.

 

 

 

pacers basketball NBA#7 Seed Pacers (45-37 SU, 6-2 ATS run) 6-1 run under. 26-15 Home, 19-22 Away
• #16 in scoring, #16 FGs, #15 in three-point shooting (35%), #15 FTs (76%)
• 6-9 25-year old Paul George (23 ppg, 4 apg, 7 rpg), 6-3 30-year old Monta Ellis (13.8 ppg, 4.7 apg) and 29-year old 6-3 George Hill (12 ppg, 3.5 rpg) bring balance on a strong offense.
• Defense: #8 in points (100.6 ppg), #6 in FG D (.44%), #3 in 3-pt D (33%)
• The Under is 15-5 in the Pacers last 20 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

 

 

Game 1 Pacers win 100-90 as +6 dog, as Paul George had 33 points on 12-of-22 shooting. The Indiana bench had 37 points, 18 rebounds. The Pacers made 11-of-21 threes. Toronto shot 38%, just 4-of-19 from long range. Toronto had a big edge in rebounds, 52-38. Toronto shot 38 percent and made 20 turnovers, leading to 25 Indiana points. The Raptors out-rebounded the Pacers 52-38, and had 20 offensive rebounds.

Game 2: 98-87 Toronto wins with a 27-16 first quarter. Valanciunas had 23 points and Toronto finished with 46 points in the paint, compared to Indiana’s 30, as the Raptors outrebounded the Pacers 44-33.

Game 3: Toronto wins at Indiana, 101-85. Toronto shot 41.5%, Indiana 38%. Toronto had the edge in rebounds again, 45-38.
Game 4: Indiana wins at home, 100-83. Indiana shot 47%, Toronto just 36.5%. Indiana finally won the rebounding battle, 43-40.
Game 5: Toronto rallies for 102-99 win, overcoming a 13-point fourth quarter deficit. Toronto shot 40% (6-of-26 threes), while Indiana shot 45% (13-29 threes). Rebounding battle was even, 41-41.

 

 

• Dec 14: Indiana won at home 106-90 as -4.5, under 200.
• March 17 Toronto won at Indiana, 101-94 as +2, under 203.5.
• April 8 Toronto won at home 111-98 as +5 dog, over 193.5. The Pacers needed a win to clinch a postseason spot, but couldn’t get anything going in Toronto even with Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan getting the night off. The Underdog is 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

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NBA Playoff Betting Preview: Warriors/Rockets Game 4, 4/24/2016

Jim NBA Photoby Jim Feist 

 

 

The Golden State Warriors and the Houston Rockets square off in a pivotal Game 4 clash Sunday, April 24, 2016, with the Warriors up 2-1. Golden State is an 8.5 road favorite, with the total at 217.5. Golden State set an NBA record with 73 regular season wins, never losing back-to-back games, but they lost Game 3 on this court, 97-96 as -3.5 chalk. Golden State star Stephon Curry did not play (ankle) but expects to be ready Sunday.

 
Warriors’ talented young forward Draymond Green was a goat with seven turnovers, including a crucial one in the final seconds which prevented Golden State from getting off a shot. Houston played with energy at both ends of the floor, which was not always the case during an erratic regular season. Dwight Howard had 13 points and 13 rebounds. Houston will be sky high again, but don’t overlook Golden State’s defense: the Warriors were tops in the NBA in scoring and third in fielWarriors vs James Harden and the Houston Rocketsd goal shooting defense. (Jim Feist free daily NBA odds: CLICK HERE)

 

 

Golden State:    26-year old Klay Thompson (22 ppg) and 28-year old Stephen Curry (30 ppg) provide the offense from outside, but a slew of talent role players give Golden State incredible depth and flexibility.  7-footer Andrew Bogut, Harrison Barnes and Draymond Green provide frontcourt muscle, while Andre Iguodala and Leandro Barbosa excel off the bench.

 

 

Defense: Golden State allowed .435% FG (3rd), #2 in 3-point D (33%) in regular season.

Houston’s defense allowed 106.4 ppg (#25) during the regular season, just #19 in field goal defense, #21 at defending the three-pointer (36%).

 

 

Steph Curry of NBA WarriorsGolden State leads 2-1 SU/ATS in the series, -13 favorite in Game 1, -8.5 in Game 2 without Curry, lost Game 3 as -5.5 favorite.

Game 1: 104-78. Warriors rolled at home with Curry.

Game 2: 115-106 Warriors’ win.  Klay Thompson scored 34 points and dished out five assists, and the Warriors held off the Houston Rockets 115-106. Andre Iguodala, the 2015 Finals MVP, added 18 points with four 3-pointers, while Green had 12 points, 14 rebounds and eight assists. 

 

 

Game 3: Rockets prevail at home, 97-96. Golden State shot just 43% from the field, while victorious Houston was worse shooting 38%. The Rockets have lost of six of the last seven and 14 of 16 to Golden State. 

 

 

Golden State also beat the Rockets without Curry on New Year’s Eve on Houston’s home court at Oracle Arena, 114-110, as -3.5, over 211. The Warriors are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 Conference Quarterfinals games. The Warriors are 30-12-2 ATS in their last 43 games playing on 2 days rest. The Over is 25-10 in Rockets last 35 vs. Western Conference, 20-6 ATS playing on 2 days rest. And the Under is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings at Houston.

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NBA Playoff Betting: Thunder vs. Mavericks Game 4, 4/23/2016

Jim at cameronby Jim Feist 

 

 

The Dallas Mavericks and the Oklahoma City Thunder battle in Game 4 Saturday, April 23, 2016, with the Thunder up 2-1. Dallas is a 9-point home dog with the total at 201.5. Oklahoma City rolled at home in the opener, but Dallas pulled a stunning upset in Game 2, 85-84, as a 14-point dog.  Looking to take command of the series, the Mavericks got steamrolled again in game 3, this time at home, 131-102, so now they are in the same boat as Game 2, to try and even the series.

 

Dallas star Dirk Nowitzki played despite a right knee bruise and scored 16 points.  Mavericks guard Deron Williams is also ailing, battling a sports hernia. This series has been all about who controls the pace. Shorthanded Dallas certainly wants to slow things down, on a 9-3 run under the total.  (Jim Feist free daily NBA odds: CLICK HERE)    Dallas Mavs vs Oklahoma City NBA

 

 

  • Over is 25-9-1 in the last 35 meetings in Dallas.
  • Thunder are 15-6-1 ATS in the last 22 meetings in Dallas.
  • Underdog is 29-14-1 ATS in the last 44 meetings.
  • Road team is 37-17-2 ATS in the last 56 meetings.

 

 

#3 Seed Oklahoma City Thunder (55-27 SU) 10-4 run over. 32-9 H, 23-18 away
#2 in scoring (110.4), #3 FGs, #17 in 3-point shooting (.35%). #29 in FT (69%)
Oklahoma City hasn’t been back to the NBA Finals since their 2012 appearance, but they are still a force with 27-year old 6-9 Kevin Durant (28 ppg, 8.3 rpg), 27-year old do-it-all guard Russell Westbrook (23.7 ppg, 7.7 rpg, 10.4 apg) and 6-foot-10 26-year old Serge Ibaka (12.7 ppg, 6.8 rpg).
They are an offensive dynamo, third in the NBA in scoring, but play better defense than you might think for first-year coach Billy Donovan.
Defense: #16 in points (103 ppg), #5 in Mavs vs ThunderFG D (.44%), #10 in 3-pt D (.345%)

  • The Thunder are 23-8-2 ATS in their last 33 Saturday games, 9-2 ATS against a team with a winning straight up record.  The over is also 15-7 in the Thunder’s last 22 games playing on one day of rest.

 

 

#6 Seed Dallas Mavericks (42-40 SU, 7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS run) 6-2 under. 23-18 Home, 19-22 Away
#15 in scoring, #20 FGs, #21 in 3-point shooting (34%).
37-yead old 7-0 Dirk Nowitzki (18.3 ppg, 6.5 rpg), 32-year old 6-11 Zaza Pachulia (8.6 ppg, 9.4 rpg), 31-year old Deron Williams (14 ppg), 29-year old Wesley Matthews (12.5 ppg), plus  J.J. Berea (11 ppg) and Ray Felton (9.4 ppg), so age and depth are concerns.
Dallas Defense: #13 in points (102.7 ppg), #15 in FG D (.45%), #9 in 3-pt D (34%)
33-16-3 over at home vs team with winning road record.

  • Mavericks are 33-16-2 ATS in their last 51 vs. the NBA Northwest.
  • Mavericks are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 home games.

 

 

Regular season meetings:
Nov. 22: OKC won 117-114 at home as -3.5, over 208.5.
Jan 13: OKC won at home 108-89 as -12.5, under 207.
Jan. 22: OKC won at Dallas, 109-106 as -6.5, over 208.

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NBA Playoff Betting: Raptors vs. Pacers Game 3, 4/21/2016

Jim at the Book 1by Jim Feist

 

 

The Toronto Raptors and the Indiana Pacers square off in Game 3 Thursday, April 21, 2016, with the series tied at 1-1. Toronto is a road favorite of -1.5 with the total at 139.5. The Pacers stole Game 1 on the road, 100-90 as +6 dog, before Toronto got even with a one-sided rout in Game 2, 98-87, leading 27-16 in the first quarter. Paul George has carried the load for the Pacers with 33 and 28 points in what has been a defensive series. But Toronto has dominated the glass in both games with edges in rebounds of 52-38 and 44-33. So where is the edge, home court, or rebounding?

 
#2 Seed Toronto (56-26 SU, 8-8 ATS run) 32-9 Home, 24-17 Away
• Offense: #13 in scoring, #15 FGs, #4 in three-point shooting (.37%). #12 in Free Throws (78%).
• Defense: #3 in points (98.2 ppg), #12 inNBA pacers vs raptors
FG D (.444%), #29 in 3-pt D (37%)
• Who wants to face this backcourt? 26-year old DeMar DeRozan (23.5 ppg) and 29-year old point guard Kyle Lowry (21 ppg, 6.4 apg) are a handful.
• 26-year old center Bismack Biyombo (8 rpg) has been a force down the stretch, including a 25-reound effort against Indiana.
• Top 12 in the NBA in points allowed, free throw shooting and field goal defense.
• 3-5 ATS on the road, 9-3 under the total vs the East.

 

 

#7 Seed Pacers (45-37 SU, 5-2 ATS run) 5-2 run under. 26-15 Home, 19-22 Away
• Offense: #16 in scoring, #16 FGs, #15 in three-point shooting (35%), #15 FTs (76%)
• 6-9 25-year old Paul George (23 ppg, 4 apg, 7 rpg), 6-3 30-year old Monta Ellis (13.8 ppg, 4.7 apg) and 29-year old 6-3 George Hill (12 ppg, 3.5 rpg).
• Defense: #8 in points (100.6 ppg), #6 in FG D (.44%), #3 in 3-pt D (33%)
• 3-7 ATS after a win, 2-7 ATS after a win of 10+ points.
• 26-9 under after allowing 100+.

Toronto at Indiana Game 3 NBA Playoffs

 

Series 1-1: Game 1 Pacers win 100-90 as +6 dog, as Paul George struck for 33 points, 12-22 from the field. The Indiana bench had 37 points, 18 rebounds and the Pacers made 11-of-21 threes. Toronto shot 38%, and was only 4-of-19 from long range, but had a rebounding edge of 52-38. Toronto shot 38 percent and made 20 turnovers, leading to 25 Indiana points. The Raptors had 20 offensive rebounds to Indiana’s nine.

 

 

Game 2: 98-87 Toronto, out to a  27-16 edge after the first quarter. Valanciunas had 23 points and 15 rebounds, Kyle Lowry had 18 points, nine assists and seven rebounds.
Indiana’s Paul George did his part with 28 points while Monta Ellis had 15 for the Pacers.
Toronto finished with 46 points in the paint, compared to Indiana’s 30, and the Raptors outrebounded the Pacers 44-33.  It was a defensive battle as Indiana shot 41%, Toronto 43.8%.

 

 

• Dec 14: Indiana won at home 106-90 as -4.5, under 200.
• March 17 Toronto won at Indiana, 101-94 as +2, under 203.5.
• April 8 Toronto won at home 111-98 as +5 dog, over 193.5. The Pacers needed a win to clinch a postseason spot, but couldn’t get anything going in Toronto even with Kyle Lowry and DeMar DeRozan getting the night off.

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