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Week 5 Showdown Louisville vs. Clemson, Oct. 1, 2016

feist-4by Jim Feist

 

A huge college football showdown takes plays Saturday, October 1, 2016, as Louisville heads to Clemson to battle the Tigers in a showdown of unbeatens. These teams have talent on offense, but the 2015 meeting was all about defense: Clemson won at Louisville 20-17 as -5 chalk. It was 7-3 at half.

 

Clemson sacked QB Kyle Bolin 5 times and held the Cardinals to 19 yards rushing. Tiger QB DeShaun Watson completed 21 of 30 passes to 8 targets for 199 yards and RB Gallman rushed 24 times for 139 yards to help the Tigers outgain the Cardinals 401-272. Louisville was just 2-of-14 on third down a year after a 1-of-17 effort at Clemson.  Louisville has a new dynamic quarterback this season — but do they have enough defense? CFB Daily odds: CLICK HERE

louisville-vs-clemson-football

 

 

#4 Louisville (4-0 SU/ATS): 4-0 over the total, part of a 7-1 run over the total. They are also 28-11 ATS on the road
• This is the third road game in four weeks for Louisville. They beat NC Charlotte (70-14), Syracuse (62-28), Florida State (63-20) and Marshall (59-28).
• 6-3 soph QB Lamar Jackson (8 TD, 2 INTs, 913 yards) has rushed for 464 yards, 9.5 ypc, 10 TDs. Senior RB Brandon Radcliff (296 yds, 11 ypc), WR James Quick (262) + Jamari Staples (219).
• The Cardinals became the first ACC team to score at least 60 points in 3 straight contests following 63-20 rout of then-No. 2 Florida State, giving them their largest margin of victory over a ranked team in school history. QB Jackson’s 1,377 total yards, 18 total TDs through three games has made him the early favorite to win the Heisman.
• Offense has run for at least 250 yards in five straight contests.
• Cards leads FBS in rushing TDs (16), yards pc (8.2), most runs of at least 20 yards (14).
• Louisville D is tied for fifth in the country with 13 sacks.
• Cardinals are 28-11 ATS in their last 39 road games.
• Under is 11-3 following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
• 21-5 ATS away vs. a team with a winning home record.
• 22-8-1 under in October.

clemson-tigers-football

 

#5 Clemson (4-0 SU/2-2 ATS): 4-0 under the total.
• Beat Auburn (19-13 as -9), Troy (30-24 as -35), SC State (59-0), won at G-Tech (26-7). That was a Thursday, so extra time to prepare.
• 6-3 junior QB DeShaun Watson (9 TD, 4 INTs, 996 yards).
• Junior RB Wayne Gallman (256 yds, 4.1 ypc), WR Mike Williams (306).
• Deshaun Watson threw for 304 yards, 2 TDs during a dominant game that carried Clemson to a 26-7 victory at Georgia Tech Thursday. At halftime, Clemson was up 347-22 lead in total yards and 19-3 in first downs. Georgia Tech was outgained 442-124 overall.
• 12-4 under vs. a team with a winning record, 13-5 under at home.

 

For full odds, just check out my Scores and Odds page to get the latest game odds and of course live scores once the game starts.

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SEC Week 4 2016 Showdown Florida Gators vs. Tennessee Vols

Jim at WSOP 2010by Jim Feist

 

 

It’s still September but old SEC rivals (3-0) Florida and (3-0) Tennessee square off in a sea of Orange, Saturday, September 25, 2016. Tennessee is a 7-point home favorite, though Florida is unbeaten with a terrific defense. The Gators have also won 11 in a row over the Vols. The Gators are 10-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record, plus 8-2 ATS in SEC play. Tennessee is 19-7 over the total in September and the over is 5-1 in the last six meetings between these rivals.

 

 

Last year: Florida won 28-27 at home. Freshman Antonio Callaway had a dazzling 63-yard TD reception with 1:26 left on 4th + 14. “I think down deep, you just don’t lose to Tennessee. And they didn’t,” Florida coach Jim McElwain said. The road team is also 6-1-1 ATS when they clash.  CFB Daily odds: CLICK HERE


#16 Florida (3-0 SU/1-2 ATS):  Returning: Offense – 5, Defense – 5.
• 2015: 10-1 start, 0-3 SU/1-2 finish, including a 41-7 bowl loss. Florida is on a 9-1 ATS run on the road.
• Jim McElwain did a great job in Year 1 with limited offensive talent.
• Florida passing game: 118th, 114th, 106th + 87th in the nation the last four years!
• 2016: Soph QB Luke Del Rio (6 TDs, 2 INT, 762 yds) is out, a key loss. Senior Austin Appleby (30 yards) starts.  He had 19 TDs, 19 INTs at Purdue in 11 starts.
• Sophomore RB Jordan Scarlett (175 yds, 5.2 ypc) works behind a young Gator offensive line.
• WR soph Antonio Callaway (201 yds) is battling quad injury and was the hero in last year’s thriller.
• 2015 Florida Defense: 16.5 ppg (8th) – #6 in yards (295 pg).
• 2016: Beat UMass (24-7), Kentucky (45-7) and North Texas (32-0).
• D-line is the strength of the team behind DE Bryan Cox Jr. + Caleb Brantley. The held North Texas to 53 yards on 50 plays.  Florida is 10-4 ATS vs. a winning team
• 1st road game for Florida. 15-8-1 ATS in September.

 

#12 (3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS) Tennessee: 30-19-2 over total run.  Tennessee has won 9 in a row.
• Returning: Offense – 10, Defense – 8. Coach Butch Jones (4th year)
• Beat Appalachian State in OT (20-13), beat V-Tech (45-24), beat Ohio. This is their fourth straight game in the state of Tennessee.
• Senior QB Joshua Dobbs (4 TDs, 2 INTs, 283 yards passing, 102 rush yards) runs the show and offensive coordinator Mike DeBord prefers a fast-paced attack.
• 6-3 junior RB Jalen Hurd (209 yards, 4.2 ypc).
• 2015 Defense: 21.2 ppg (25th) – #57 in yards allowed (217 pg). Bob Shoop is new defensive coordinator (Vanderbilt, Penn State), highly touted. He is running the same 4-3 defense and totals bettors note that Tennessee is 20-8 over the total in September.
• The Vols have trailed in the first quarter against both Appalachian State (down 13-3 at the half) and Virginia Tech (14-0). Tennessee hasn’t started 3-0 since since 2004 and only the ninth time since 1974.
• Last week: 28-19 win over (1-2) Ohio, just 20-19 in the fourth quarter. 4 Tennessee starters were injured and 3 players switched positions on O-line. “We’re decimated right now with injuries,” coach Butch Jones said. “The penalties are inexcusable. Balls on the ground are inexcusable. I’m pulling my hair out.”

 

For full odds, just check out my Scores and Odds page to get the latest game odds and of course live scores once the game starts.

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